|
The Publication
This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.
OCTOBER 2005 KEY POINTS
Trend
The October 2005 trend estimate (81,955) for sales of new motor vehicles decreased 0.5% over the September 2005 estimate. When compared with October 2004 (81,385), the trend estimate increased 0.7%.
In October 2005, decreases were recorded in the trend estimate for sales of passenger vehicles (0.7%) and other vehicles (0.3%), while sales of sports utility vehicles showed an increase of 0.3% compared with the previous month. Compared with October 2004, increases were recorded for sales of passenger vehicles (0.7%) and other new vehicles (3.9%), while sales of sports utility vehicles showed a decrease of 2.6%.
Most states and territories recorded decreases in the trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles in October 2005 compared with September 2005, with the Northern Territory (1.4%) recording the largest decrease. Western Australia, Tasmania and the Australian Capital Territory recorded increases over this time.
When compared with October 2004, most states and territories recorded increases in the trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles, with Western Australia (11.1%) recording the largest increase. New South Wales, Victoria and South Australia recorded decreases over this time.
Seasonally adjusted
The seasonally adjusted estimate for sales of new motor vehicles in October 2005 (78,973) represented a decrease of 6.7% over September 2005.
Decreases were recorded in seasonally adjusted estimates across all vehicle types in October 2005 compared with September 2005. Sales of new passenger vehicles declined by 5.8%, sports utility vehicles by 11.9% and other motor vehicles by 4.5%.
All states and territories recorded decreases in the seasonally adjusted estimates for sales of new motor vehicles in October 2005 compared with September 2005. Tasmania (19.0%) and the Northern Territory (12.8%) recorded the largest decreases, while sales in South Australia decreased by only 1.4%.
Sales of new motor vehicles, October 2005
| NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. |
Vehicle sales
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | 23,644 | 20,374 | 17,546 | 5,225 | 8,624 | 1,620 | 739 | 1,201 | 78,973 |
Trend | 24,911 | 21,148 | 18,015 | 5,216 | 8,823 | 1,753 | 799 | 1,290 | 81,955 |
Percentage change from previous month
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | -9.0 | -6.1 | -4.9 | -1.4 | -4.5 | -19.0 | -12.8 | -9.2 | -6.7 |
Trend | -0.7 | -0.6 | -0.9 | -0.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | -1.4 | 0.7 | -0.5 |
Percentage change from previous year
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | -9.9 | -12.0 | -0.3 | -7.7 | 8.2 | -17.4 | -6.2 | -5.4 | -6.7 |
Trend | -2.9 | -1.7 | 4.6 | -2.7 | 11.1 | 0.2 | 7.2 | 6.4 | 0.7 |
|
(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.
NOTES
TREND REVISIONS
Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.
The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.
1 | The November 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the October 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.8%. |
2 | The November 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the October 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.8%. |
The percentage change of 3.8% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.8%.
SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES
Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle
|
| | Passenger vehicles (No.) | Sports utility vehicles (No.) | Other vehicles (No.) | Total vehicles (No.) | Change passenger vehicles (%) | Change sports utility vehicles (%) | Change other vehicles (%) | Change total vehicles (%) |
|
Original |
|
2004 | August | 48,649 | 14,910 | 15,685 | 79,244 | 4.1 | 3.2 | -1.2 | 2.9 |
| September | 49,911 | 14,715 | 15,826 | 80,452 | 2.6 | -1.3 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| October | 52,290 | 13,907 | 15,470 | 81,667 | 4.8 | -5.5 | -2.2 | 1.5 |
| November | 52,888 | 15,257 | 16,190 | 84,335 | 1.1 | 9.7 | 4.7 | 3.3 |
| December | 48,673 | 14,311 | 15,996 | 78,980 | -8.0 | -6.2 | -1.2 | -6.3 |
| | | | | | | | | |
2005 | January | 43,075 | 13,826 | 12,664 | 69,565 | -11.5 | -3.4 | -20.8 | -11.9 |
| February | 50,645 | 15,478 | 14,886 | 81,009 | 17.6 | 11.9 | 17.5 | 16.5 |
| March | 53,280 | 17,348 | 15,798 | 86,426 | 5.2 | 12.1 | 6.1 | 6.7 |
| April | 46,645 | 13,749 | 15,936 | 76,330 | -12.5 | -20.7 | 0.9 | -11.7 |
| May | 50,420 | 15,329 | 17,981 | 83,730 | 8.1 | 11.5 | 12.8 | 9.7 |
| June | 60,720 | 18,229 | 22,958 | 101,907 | 20.4 | 18.9 | 27.7 | 21.7 |
| July | 48,931 | 13,716 | 15,652 | 78,299 | -19.4 | -24.8 | -31.8 | -23.2 |
| August | 53,650 | 15,173 | 17,356 | 86,179 | 9.6 | 10.6 | 10.9 | 10.1 |
| September | 52,118 | 15,080 | 17,242 | 84,440 | -2.9 | -0.6 | -0.7 | -2.0 |
| October | 48,434 | 12,503 | 15,181 | 76,118 | -7.1 | -17.1 | -12.0 | -9.9 |
|
Seasonally adjusted |
|
2004 | August | 48,311 | 14,923 | 15,752 | 78,986 | 1.8 | 1.4 | -2.2 | 0.9 |
| September | 49,349 | 15,117 | 16,062 | 80,528 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| October | 52,393 | 15,588 | 16,658 | 84,639 | 6.2 | 3.1 | 3.7 | 5.1 |
| November | 50,250 | 15,035 | 15,772 | 81,057 | -4.1 | -3.5 | -5.3 | -4.2 |
| December | 47,978 | 14,313 | 16,066 | 78,357 | -4.5 | -4.8 | 1.9 | -3.3 |
| | | | | | | | | |
2005 | January | 52,624 | 16,048 | 17,084 | 85,756 | 9.7 | 12.1 | 6.3 | 9.4 |
| February | 52,536 | 16,213 | 16,067 | 84,816 | -0.2 | 1.0 | -6.0 | -1.1 |
| March | 50,209 | 15,829 | 15,651 | 81,689 | -4.4 | -2.4 | -2.6 | -3.7 |
| April | 51,212 | 14,985 | 16,822 | 83,019 | 2.0 | -5.3 | 7.5 | 1.6 |
| May | 51,025 | 14,537 | 16,620 | 82,182 | -0.4 | -3.0 | -1.2 | -1.0 |
| June | 51,046 | 14,308 | 16,631 | 81,985 | 0.0 | -1.6 | 0.1 | -0.2 |
| July | 51,081 | 14,617 | 16,440 | 82,138 | 0.1 | 2.2 | -1.1 | 0.2 |
| August | 51,632 | 14,728 | 17,220 | 83,580 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 4.7 | 1.8 |
| September | 51,609 | 15,899 | 17,128 | 84,636 | 0.0 | 8.0 | -0.5 | 1.3 |
| October | 48,611 | 14,004 | 16,358 | 78,973 | -5.8 | -11.9 | -4.5 | -6.7 |
|
Trend |
|
2004 | August | 48,955 | 14,960 | 15,947 | 79,862 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| September | 49,464 | 15,082 | 16,060 | 80,606 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| October | 50,008 | 15,208 | 16,169 | 81,385 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| November | 50,496 | 15,382 | 16,234 | 82,112 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| December | 50,866 | 15,572 | 16,264 | 82,702 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| | | | | | | | | |
2005 | January | 51,089 | 15,681 | 16,281 | 83,051 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| February | 51,169 | 15,659 | 16,299 | 83,127 | 0.2 | -0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| March | 51,196 | 15,460 | 16,329 | 82,985 | 0.1 | -1.3 | 0.2 | -0.2 |
| April | 51,254 | 15,177 | 16,413 | 82,844 | 0.1 | -1.8 | 0.5 | -0.2 |
| May | 51,267 | 14,904 | 16,532 | 82,703 | 0.0 | -1.8 | 0.7 | -0.2 |
| June | 51,171 | 14,723 | 16,657 | 82,551 | -0.2 | -1.2 | 0.8 | -0.2 |
| July | 51,099 | 14,689 | 16,774 | 82,562 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| August | 50,952 | 14,724 | 16,832 | 82,508 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | -0.1 |
| September | 50,716 | 14,759 | 16,851 | 82,326 | -0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | -0.2 |
| October | 50,353 | 14,806 | 16,796 | 81,955 | -0.7 | 0.3 | -0.3 | -0.5 |
|
Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration
|
| | NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. |
| | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) |
|
Original |
|
2004 | August | 24,795 | 20,850 | 17,269 | 5,414 | 7,513 | 1,585 | 677 | 1,141 | 79,244 |
| September | 25,241 | 20,821 | 17,188 | 5,289 | 8,177 | 1,855 | 739 | 1,142 | 80,452 |
| October | 25,621 | 22,747 | 16,079 | 5,413 | 7,875 | 1,981 | 709 | 1,242 | 81,667 |
| November | 26,619 | 23,052 | 17,117 | 5,450 | 8,157 | 1,944 | 694 | 1,302 | 84,335 |
| December | 24,315 | 21,700 | 16,537 | 4,998 | 7,341 | 2,245 | 647 | 1,197 | 78,980 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2005 | January | 22,467 | 18,015 | 14,530 | 4,466 | 6,931 | 1,478 | 560 | 1,118 | 69,565 |
| February | 25,754 | 20,580 | 17,837 | 5,489 | 7,880 | 1,431 | 776 | 1,262 | 81,009 |
| March | 27,474 | 21,963 | 19,114 | 5,452 | 8,623 | 1,571 | 888 | 1,341 | 86,426 |
| April | 24,329 | 19,497 | 16,789 | 5,034 | 7,329 | 1,371 | 858 | 1,123 | 76,330 |
| May | 26,204 | 21,882 | 18,221 | 5,534 | 8,066 | 1,639 | 912 | 1,272 | 83,730 |
| June | 30,695 | 25,402 | 24,613 | 6,561 | 9,986 | 2,052 | 1,183 | 1,415 | 101,907 |
| July | 24,905 | 19,923 | 17,559 | 4,794 | 7,684 | 1,435 | 764 | 1,235 | 78,299 |
| August | 26,292 | 22,552 | 19,330 | 5,458 | 8,714 | 1,689 | 751 | 1,393 | 86,179 |
| September | 25,457 | 22,044 | 18,344 | 5,243 | 9,125 | 2,151 | 793 | 1,283 | 84,440 |
| October | 22,949 | 20,289 | 16,026 | 5,030 | 8,349 | 1,655 | 659 | 1,161 | 76,118 |
|
Seasonally adjusted |
|
2004 | August | 25,009 | 20,538 | 17,078 | 5,331 | 7,628 | 1,550 | 743 | 1,109 | 78,986 |
| September | 25,341 | 20,717 | 17,184 | 5,375 | 8,188 | 1,724 | 788 | 1,211 | 80,528 |
| October | 26,229 | 23,157 | 17,598 | 5,663 | 7,974 | 1,961 | 788 | 1,269 | 84,639 |
| November | 25,665 | 21,417 | 17,039 | 5,254 | 8,044 | 1,689 | 709 | 1,240 | 81,057 |
| December | 25,212 | 21,047 | 16,717 | 4,743 | 7,124 | 1,669 | 691 | 1,154 | 78,357 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2005 | January | 27,374 | 22,373 | 18,105 | 5,597 | 8,378 | 1,847 | 754 | 1,328 | 85,756 |
| February | 27,006 | 21,704 | 18,407 | 5,642 | 8,132 | 1,724 | 862 | 1,339 | 84,816 |
| March | 26,150 | 21,124 | 17,485 | 5,351 | 7,691 | 1,753 | 777 | 1,358 | 81,689 |
| April | 25,986 | 21,233 | 18,516 | 5,433 | 8,275 | 1,652 | 782 | 1,142 | 83,019 |
| May | 25,299 | 21,432 | 18,227 | 5,425 | 8,126 | 1,658 | 789 | 1,226 | 82,182 |
| June | 24,922 | 21,352 | 18,699 | 5,231 | 7,952 | 1,767 | 860 | 1,202 | 81,985 |
| July | 25,311 | 21,221 | 18,242 | 5,161 | 8,443 | 1,643 | 818 | 1,299 | 82,138 |
| August | 25,863 | 21,726 | 18,275 | 5,238 | 8,727 | 1,615 | 813 | 1,323 | 83,580 |
| September | 25,971 | 21,709 | 18,458 | 5,299 | 9,028 | 2,001 | 847 | 1,323 | 84,636 |
| October | 23,644 | 20,374 | 17,546 | 5,225 | 8,624 | 1,620 | 739 | 1,201 | 78,973 |
|
Trend |
|
2004 | August | 25,295 | 20,759 | 17,106 | 5,309 | 7,755 | 1,693 | 752 | 1,193 | 79,862 |
| September | 25,418 | 21,143 | 17,169 | 5,339 | 7,867 | 1,725 | 748 | 1,197 | 80,606 |
| October | 25,644 | 21,513 | 17,223 | 5,361 | 7,938 | 1,749 | 745 | 1,212 | 81,385 |
| November | 25,945 | 21,763 | 17,306 | 5,377 | 7,971 | 1,765 | 747 | 1,238 | 82,112 |
| December | 26,255 | 21,833 | 17,447 | 5,396 | 7,984 | 1,770 | 752 | 1,265 | 82,702 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2005 | January | 26,451 | 21,750 | 17,646 | 5,418 | 7,985 | 1,759 | 761 | 1,281 | 83,051 |
| February | 26,442 | 21,584 | 17,877 | 5,438 | 7,990 | 1,739 | 777 | 1,280 | 83,127 |
| March | 26,237 | 21,434 | 18,096 | 5,442 | 8,004 | 1,714 | 792 | 1,266 | 82,985 |
| April | 25,964 | 21,375 | 18,278 | 5,416 | 8,051 | 1,699 | 807 | 1,254 | 82,844 |
| May | 25,690 | 21,379 | 18,377 | 5,362 | 8,138 | 1,692 | 817 | 1,248 | 82,703 |
| June | 25,469 | 21,377 | 18,383 | 5,296 | 8,264 | 1,695 | 818 | 1,249 | 82,551 |
| July | 25,348 | 21,388 | 18,351 | 5,256 | 8,430 | 1,709 | 819 | 1,261 | 82,562 |
| August | 25,234 | 21,351 | 18,278 | 5,236 | 8,593 | 1,726 | 816 | 1,274 | 82,508 |
| September | 25,086 | 21,270 | 18,178 | 5,227 | 8,735 | 1,739 | 810 | 1,281 | 82,326 |
| October | 24,911 | 21,148 | 18,015 | 5,216 | 8,823 | 1,753 | 799 | 1,290 | 81,955 |
|
(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes. |
|